Ok so previously we ran through the obvious pre-season Brownlow picks with our list of the 2010 Brownlow Medal favourites, now it’s time to take a broader look at the field and pick out some potential winners from the pack.
These are our Brownlow “value picks”, those players who we consider are currently offering excellent odds and have a chance at grabbing enough votes to be right amongst it on Brownlow night.
Brownlow Medal Value Picks
Scott Pendlebury $51
One of Collingwood’s best players a Brownlow chance. Sounds obvious right? Well it does to us too, and currently at odds of $51 to win the Brownlow we reckon Pendles is an excellent value pick right now. Consider that at the 2009 Brownlow Medal, Pendlebury had the most votes of any Collingwood player with 13, one ahead of both Didak and (one of the predicted winners) Dane Swan. Both Didak and Swan had outstanding years in 2009 and yet Pendlebury managed to get more Brownlow votes from the umpires.
Brendan Fevola $251
After last year’s controversy, the move to Brisbane can only mean one thing for Fev, a more focused motivated player. He undoubtably has the talent to be a match-winner, having won the 2009 Coleman Medal, and that means Brownlow votes will come his way. Sure Brisbane Brownlow votes are normally shared between Simon Black and Jonathan Brown, but then at Carlton Fev had to share Brownlow votes with Judd, Gibbs and Murphy and he still managed to poll 11 votes last year.
If you can imagine that in 2010 Fevola might come out ready to play, more motivated than ever, and with a renewed passion for the game to prove his old club wrong, then you’ll agree that at odds of $251 to win the Brownlow, Fev is an excellent value pick right now.
Brent Harvey $126
Last year Harvey missed seven games due to injury but still managed to be the Kangaroos player with the most Brownlow votes with nine. He led the Kangaroos again at the 2008 Brownlow and was right in the mix, finishing 8th with 17 votes. The year before that he finished equal second at the 2007 Brownlow (where Bartel dominated and clearly out-polled everybody) with 20 votes, in doing so he finished higher than Gary Ablett.
If Harvey can re-gain that 2007 form and be up in the top 10 Brownlow vote getters this year, then his current odds of $126 seems like outstanding value.
{ 6 comments… read them below or add one }
dane swan should be no 1 because he just got 48 possesions and is at 12$ while gary abblet jnr is at 5.50$ please send me an email of why dane swan is not the no 1 for the brownlow
I think Dale Thomas should win!
I love you Dale. Please marry me Dale.
ILY
bryce gibbs should win han’t been around alot but he wraped up 46 possesions and I don’t think dane swan got 48 possesions but still bryce is the best!!!
dane swan is shit as bro
1 st one was a mistake it’s hasn’t
Yep Ablett should win by a country mile. He had near on 40 possions every game for the first half of the season and that should bring home the bacon. The same man that won the medal by a record breaking 9 points last year & missed 3 games! He’s a shoe in!