After the first four rounds of the 2010 AFL season, it’s a good time to check on the leading goal kickers and pick out some Coleman Medal betting tips.
One of the easiest ways I do this is to do a quick comparison of the betting odds for the top 10 goal scorers so far:
| Name | Goals after
Round 4 |
Current Odds |
| Jonathan Brown | 19 | $3.75 |
| Matthew Pavlich | 15 | $14.00 |
| Barry Hall | 14 | $5.00 |
| Brendan Fevola | 13 | $3.75 |
| Jarryd Roughead | 12 | $12.00 |
| Brendan Goddard | 12 | $301.00 |
| Steve Johnson | 11 | $81.00 |
| Josh Kennedy | 11 | $151.00 |
| Daniel Bradshaw | 11 | $16.00 |
| Mark Lecras | 10 | $51.00 |
So the two clear favourites are Brown and Fevola, and at those short odds they don’t represent too much value (unless you think Jonathan Brown won’t slow down this goalkicking pace, in which case…). And it looks like there’s a few standout bargain bets here.
Matthew Pavlich is second so far and only four goals off the lead, so at $14.00 he’s looking like great value. Pavlich is Fremantle’s main forward target so he’ll always get plenty of the ball inside 50 and plenty of shots at goal. If he stays healthy throughout the season he could stay right up there in the top one or two goalkickers this year.
As far as long-shot value-bets go, Brendan Goddard is hard to look past. Sure he’s primarily a defender, but somehow he’s managed to kick 12 goals already this season (5 last round against Freo!), and with Nick Riewoldt out for much of the season with a hamstring injury, the Saints are going to be sharing the goal scoring around. At the current odds of 300-1 surely Goddard is worth jumping on as an outside chance?
The West Coast Eagles have two accurate forwards this year in Mark Lecras and Josh Kennedy, and both are currently in the top 10 goal scorers list. Lecras has oodles of talent up forward and at the start of the season he was 17-1 for the Coleman. Kennedy this season so far has scored at a remarkable 91% accuracy with 11 goals from 12 shots! With Lecras at $51 and Kennedy at $151 it could be worth placing a bet on either or both of these guys. They might end up cannibalising each other’s scoring shots by sharing the Eagle’s scoring, but then again they might just keep up this form and end up challenging for the Coleman Medal in 2010.
Head over to Centrebet to check the very latest odds.
